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Potential distribution of silver fir (Abies alba) in south-eastern Alpine and Dinaric phytogeographic regions of Slovenia and Croatia in the light of climate changeKožuh, Aljaž ; Kaligarič, Mitja ; Ivajnšič, DanijelWe studied the potential distribution of silver fi r (Abies alba Miller) in the Alpine and Dinaric phytogeographic regions of Slovenia and Croatia in the light of climate change. A decline of silver ... fi r in southern Europe due to summer droughts and heat has already been observed, along with the spread of its range towards the north-east in continental Europe due to a warmer climate with milder winters. In this study, we modelled habitat suitability for the silver fi r in regard to the most probable climate change scenarios. No major changes in habitat suitability were found in either region. Habitat suitability should slightly increase in the central and western parts of the Alpine region in more optimistic scenarios and on Pohorje and in the Dinaric region in more pessimistic scenarios. A more distinctive change of habitat suitability would probably be suppressed by weather extremes, such as summer drought and heat, a cold winter period, and extreme weather phenomena.Source: Annales : anali za istrske in mediteranske študije = annali di Studi istriani e mediterranei = annals for Istrian and Mediterranean studies. Series historia naturalis. - ISSN 1408-533X (Letn. 27, št. 2, 2017, str. 97-106)Type of material - article, component part ; adult, seriousPublish date - 2017Language - englishCOBISS.SI-ID - 24005896
Author
Kožuh, Aljaž |
Kaligarič, Mitja |
Ivajnšič, Danijel
Topics
ekološko modeliranje |
jelka |
globalno segrevanje |
primernost habitata |
RCP |
sprememba areala |
global warming |
ecological modelling |
habitat suitability |
RCP |
silver fir |
species range change
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| Database name | Field | Year |
|---|
| Links to authors' personal bibliographies | Links to information on researchers in the SICRIS system |
|---|---|
| Kožuh, Aljaž | ![]() |
| Kaligarič, Mitja | 10352 |
| Ivajnšič, Danijel | 32728 |
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